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Motherwell vs Hearts prediction

2026-10-25 · SC0 · Kickoff 2026-10-25T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Motherwell vs Hearts match analysis

What is the Motherwell vs Hearts prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Hearts (A) at 44.3%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.6%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:10:05+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 0–2

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 44.3%

Low
1 30.3%X 25.4%2 44.3%
Double chance

12 · 74.6%

Low
1X 55.7%X2 69.7%12 74.6%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:10:05+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 44.3%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 11%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings26.4%36.4%37.2%
Market · margin removed30.3%25.4%44.3%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson36.7%25.9%37.3%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-18. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Motherwell

LLLLL

Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-17Kilmarnock (A)2–3
2026-10-11Celtic (H)0–2
2026-09-19Dundee (A)1–2
2026-09-15Aberdeen (H)0–4
2026-09-05Rangers (A)0–1

Hearts

WLDWL

Scored / game: 2.10
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-18Celtic (A)1–7
2026-10-10St Mirren (H)5–0
2026-09-19Kilmarnock (A)1–1
2026-09-15Falkirk (A)1–2
2026-09-06Dundee (H)2–1

Head to head

2026-05-09 · Motherwell 1–1 Hearts

2026-04-11 · Hearts 3–1 Motherwell

2025-11-29 · Motherwell 0–0 Hearts

2025-08-23 · Hearts 3–3 Motherwell

2025-05-10 · Hearts 3–0 Motherwell

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T14:10:05+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-18
Data fingerprint: fa06c08ccc9413f5c1319eb162b4a747820168a8025be39d6fdec6c40c21fb23
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →