Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw prediction
SW2026-10-17 · POL · Kickoff 2026-10-17T12:45:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Motor Lublin (H) at 50.7%. The double-chance call is 1X at 75.7%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-16T07:38:45+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 3–2
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 50.7%
Low1X · 75.7%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-16T07:38:45+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 50.7%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 11%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 40.2% | 34.9% | 24.9% |
| Market · margin removed | 50.7% | 25.0% | 24.3% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 41.6% | 24.7% | 33.8% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Motor Lublin
Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Slask Wroclaw
Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2025-04-05 · Slask Wroclaw 1–1 Motor Lublin
2024-09-28 · Motor Lublin 2–1 Slask Wroclaw
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 5bed97990eea5a3b45ce3b3e4084f9e5a6308eb1693b788679d88dd9a655e037
Model: existing-source-policy-v1