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Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie prediction

2026-10-23 · POL · Kickoff 2026-10-23T16:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie match analysis

What is the Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Motor Lublin (H) at 49.0%. The double-chance call is 1X at 75.3%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T11:57:18+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–2

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 49.0%

Low
1 49.0%X 26.3%2 24.7%
Double chance

1X · 75.3%

Low
1X 75.3%X2 51.0%12 73.7%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T11:57:18+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 49.0%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 15%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings33.5%38.3%28.3%
Market · margin removed49.0%26.3%24.7%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson42.4%24.4%33.1%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Motor Lublin

LLDWW

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-17Slask Wroclaw (H)3–2
2026-10-12Radomiak Radom (A)3–2
2026-09-19Gornik Zabrze (H)0–0
2026-09-11Rakow (A)1–2
2026-09-05Legia (H)2–3

Zaglebie

WWLLW

Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-18Jagiellonia (H)1–0
2026-10-10Cracovia (A)1–3
2026-09-20Wisla Plock (H)0–2
2026-09-15Rakow (A)3–2
2026-09-12GKS Katowice (H)2–1

Head to head

2026-03-20 · Motor Lublin 1–0 Zaglebie

2025-09-21 · Zaglebie 2–2 Motor Lublin

2025-05-18 · Motor Lublin 1–0 Zaglebie

2024-11-22 · Zaglebie 1–2 Motor Lublin

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T11:57:18+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-19
Data fingerprint: 965b656406d8a47688282f8d4fe43de19290a7b9d25fa081c968abd6711025f5
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →