Nancy vs Guingamp prediction
G
2026-10-09 · F2 · Kickoff 2026-10-09T18:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Nancy vs Guingamp prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Nancy (H) at 48.7%. The double-chance call is 1X at 75.4%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:31+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 48.7%
Low1X · 75.4%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:31+00:00, before kickoff.
Frozen market prediction
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
Quote captured 2026-10-09T16:56:45+00:00. 3.2 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-09T17:00:10+00:00.
1 · 45.7%
✓ Correct12 · 73.4%
✓ CorrectPrediction vs Market
Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons.
The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.
These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.
| 90-minute 1X2 | Our model | Market sentiment | Market − model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy | 48.7% | 100.0% | N/A |
| Draw | 26.6% | 0.0% | N/A |
| Guingamp | 24.6% | 0.0% | N/A |
Closed or inactive market.
Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.
Raw prices & normalization
For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.
Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw
Probability movement · raw market prices
Changes measure market pricing, not evidence that a team will win. First available sample may be later than market opening.
Nancy
Draw
Guingamp
All event markets · 26
Will AS Nancy-Lorraine win on 2026-10-09?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 100.0% · No: 0.0%
Volume $45.78K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 4974040Fetched 2026-11-11T00:57:32+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-10T21:43:43.93014Z
Will AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. En Avant Guingamp end in a draw?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $1.43K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 4974041Fetched 2026-11-11T00:57:32+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-10T19:56:20.627736Z
Will En Avant Guingamp win on 2026-10-09?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $3.44K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 4974043Fetched 2026-11-11T00:57:32+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-10T20:35:46.172342Z
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. En Avant Guingamp: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
total corners · Closed · Resolved
Over: 100.0% · Under: 0.0%
Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $0 · Market 4974784Fetched 2026-10-11T16:56:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-10T13:02:30.995892Z
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. En Avant Guingamp: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
total corners · Closed · Resolved
Over: 0.0% · Under: 100.0%
Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $0 · Market 4974785Fetched 2026-10-11T16:56:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-10T13:25:12.904996Z
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. En Avant Guingamp: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
total corners · Closed · Resolved
Over: 0.0% · Under: 100.0%
Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $0 · Market 4974786Fetched 2026-10-11T16:56:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-09T22:39:57.690543Z
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. En Avant Guingamp: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
total corners · Closed · Resolved
Over: 0.0% · Under: 100.0%
Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $0 · Market 4974787Fetched 2026-10-11T16:56:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-09T22:39:58.229086Z
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. En Avant Guingamp: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
total corners · Closed · Resolved
Over: 0.0% · Under: 100.0%
Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $0 · Market 4974788Fetched 2026-10-11T16:56:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-09T23:00:17.826817Z
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. En Avant Guingamp: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
total corners · Closed · Resolved
Over: 0.0% · Under: 100.0%
Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $0 · Market 4974789Fetched 2026-10-11T16:56:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-09T23:00:47.034928Z
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. En Avant Guingamp: O/U 13.5 Total Corners
total corners · Closed · Resolved
Over: 0.0% · Under: 100.0%
Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $0 · Market 4974790Fetched 2026-10-11T16:56:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-09T23:00:48.074491Z
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. En Avant Guingamp: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
soccer first half total corners
Over: 50.0% · Under: 50.0%
Volume Unavailable · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 4974918Fetched 2026-10-11T16:56:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-10T18:02:01.539364Z
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. En Avant Guingamp: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
soccer first half total corners · Closed · Resolved
Over: 0.0% · Under: 100.0%
Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $0 · Market 4974919Fetched 2026-10-11T16:56:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-09T23:00:45.480485Z
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. En Avant Guingamp: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
soccer first half total corners · Closed · Resolved
Over: 0.0% · Under: 100.0%
Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $0 · Market 4974920Fetched 2026-10-11T16:56:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-09T23:00:30.029965Z
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. En Avant Guingamp: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
soccer second half total corners · Closed · Resolved
Over: 100.0% · Under: 0.0%
Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $0 · Market 4974921Fetched 2026-10-11T16:56:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-09T23:00:18.664825Z
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. En Avant Guingamp: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
soccer second half total corners
Over: 50.0% · Under: 50.0%
Volume Unavailable · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 4974922Fetched 2026-10-11T16:56:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-10T17:32:00.94279Z
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. En Avant Guingamp: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
soccer second half total corners
Over: 50.0% · Under: 50.0%
Volume Unavailable · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 4974923Fetched 2026-10-11T16:56:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-10T17:32:00.94279Z
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. En Avant Guingamp: AS Nancy-Lorraine O/U 2.5 Corners
soccer team total corners · Closed · Resolved
Over: 100.0% · Under: 0.0%
Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $0 · Market 4974924Fetched 2026-10-11T16:56:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-09T23:00:44.940964Z
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. En Avant Guingamp: AS Nancy-Lorraine O/U 3.5 Corners
soccer team total corners · Closed · Resolved
Over: 100.0% · Under: 0.0%
Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $0 · Market 4974925Fetched 2026-10-11T16:56:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-10T13:02:29.174097Z
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. En Avant Guingamp: AS Nancy-Lorraine O/U 4.5 Corners
soccer team total corners · Closed · Resolved
Over: 0.0% · Under: 100.0%
Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $0 · Market 4974926Fetched 2026-10-11T16:56:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-10T13:02:29.970433Z
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. En Avant Guingamp: AS Nancy-Lorraine O/U 5.5 Corners
soccer team total corners · Closed · Resolved
Over: 0.0% · Under: 100.0%
Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $0 · Market 4974927Fetched 2026-10-11T16:56:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-09T22:59:14.297471Z
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. En Avant Guingamp: En Avant Guingamp O/U 2.5 Corners
soccer team total corners · Closed · Resolved
Over: 100.0% · Under: 0.0%
Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $0 · Market 4974928Fetched 2026-10-11T16:56:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-09T22:59:14.323768Z
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. En Avant Guingamp: En Avant Guingamp O/U 3.5 Corners
soccer team total corners · Closed · Resolved
Over: 100.0% · Under: 0.0%
Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $0 · Market 4974929Fetched 2026-10-11T16:56:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-10T13:02:29.716784Z
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. En Avant Guingamp: En Avant Guingamp O/U 4.5 Corners
soccer team total corners · Closed · Resolved
Over: 0.0% · Under: 100.0%
Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $0 · Market 4974930Fetched 2026-10-11T16:56:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-10T13:25:13.152222Z
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. En Avant Guingamp: En Avant Guingamp O/U 5.5 Corners
soccer team total corners · Closed · Resolved
Over: 0.0% · Under: 100.0%
Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $0 · Market 4974931Fetched 2026-10-11T16:56:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-09T22:59:03.020891Z
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. En Avant Guingamp: Total Corners Odd or Even?
soccer game corners odd even · Closed · Resolved
Odd: 0.0% · Even: 100.0%
Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $0 · Market 4974932Fetched 2026-10-11T16:56:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-10T13:24:41.7846Z
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. En Avant Guingamp: Team to Take First Corner
soccer first corner
AS Nancy-Lorraine: 50.0% · En Avant Guingamp: 50.0%
Volume Unavailable · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 4974933Fetched 2026-10-11T16:56:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-10T12:01:01.35549Z
Historical closing observations (not scored)
Retained for research. The market results record uses the separate one-hour cutoff.
Last pre-match observation: 2026-10-09T17:57:05+00:00.
View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 48.7%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 17%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 36.6% | 36.7% | 26.7% |
| Market · margin removed | 48.7% | 26.6% | 24.6% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 32.0% | 26.4% | 41.6% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Nancy
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Guingamp
Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-01-19 · Nancy 0–3 Guingamp
2025-10-03 · Guingamp 2–2 Nancy
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-19
Data fingerprint: dea91dd83b1f7f5ddabd1b05b9382d591e45b709149ab94f493e661886d1329c
Model: existing-source-policy-v1