Napoli vs Lazio prediction
L
2026-11-08 · I1 · Kickoff 2026-11-08T11:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Napoli vs Lazio prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Napoli (H) at 42.0%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.0%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:27:56+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 42.0%
Low12 · 74.0%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:27:56+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 42.0%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 11%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 36.2% | 36.9% | 26.9% |
| Market · margin removed | 42.0% | 26.0% | 32.0% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 46.7% | 27.0% | 26.3% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-02. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Napoli
Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Lazio
Scored / game: 2.40
Conceded / game: 0.80
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Head to head
2026-04-18 · Napoli 0–2 Lazio
2026-01-04 · Lazio 0–2 Napoli
2025-02-15 · Lazio 2–2 Napoli
2024-12-08 · Napoli 0–1 Lazio
2024-01-28 · Lazio 0–0 Napoli
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-02
Data fingerprint: 82c418b37eaef7de41d7efe459abbed78665de61cf3e87dfcaf9a6484eec3fd9
Model: existing-source-policy-v1