Napoli vs Roma prediction
R
2026-10-24 · I1 · Kickoff 2026-10-24T16:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Napoli vs Roma prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Roma (A) at 37.7%. The double-chance call is 12 at 71.0%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:09:58+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 3–3
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 37.7%
Low12 · 71.0%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:09:58+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 37.7%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 11%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 31.8% | 39.1% | 29.1% |
| Market · margin removed | 33.3% | 29.0% | 37.7% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 43.0% | 27.7% | 29.3% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Napoli
Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 5 / 10
Roma
Scored / game: 2.30
Conceded / game: 0.50
Clean sheets: 7 / 10
Head to head
2026-02-15 · Napoli 2–2 Roma
2025-11-30 · Roma 0–1 Napoli
2025-02-02 · Roma 1–1 Napoli
2024-11-24 · Napoli 1–0 Roma
2024-04-28 · Napoli 2–2 Roma
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-19
Data fingerprint: fb3ec602acc1be05704e0459b1ace93763b3d3a270b704f0d6e43654f1aedcd6
Model: existing-source-policy-v1