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New York City vs Atlanta Utd prediction

2026-10-28 · USA · Kickoff 2026-10-28T23:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the New York City vs Atlanta Utd match analysis

What is the New York City vs Atlanta Utd prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: New York City (H) at 56.5%. The double-chance call is 1X at 79.2%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-27T12:40:09+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 56.5%

Medium
1 56.5%X 22.7%2 20.8%
Double chance

1X · 79.2%

Low
1X 79.2%X2 43.5%12 77.3%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-27T12:40:09+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 56.5%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 12%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings44.2%32.9%22.9%
Market · margin removed56.5%22.7%20.8%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson51.4%23.6%25.1%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-22. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

New York City

LDLLD

Scored / game: 0.90
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-18Los Angeles FC (H)1–1
2026-10-15Inter Miami (A)0–2
2026-10-10Chicago Fire (A)1–2
2026-09-27Atlanta Utd (A)2–2
2026-09-19New York Red Bulls (H)0–1

Atlanta Utd

WDLWL

Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-18Inter Miami (H)1–3
2026-10-15CF Montreal (A)3–0
2026-10-11FC Cincinnati (H)1–3
2026-09-27New York City (H)2–2
2026-09-20Portland Timbers (A)1–0

Head to head

2026-09-27 · Atlanta Utd 2–2 New York City

2025-06-13 · New York City 4–0 Atlanta Utd

2025-03-29 · Atlanta Utd 4–3 New York City

2024-07-18 · Atlanta Utd 2–2 New York City

2024-04-07 · New York City 1–1 Atlanta Utd

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-27T12:40:09+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-22
Data fingerprint: b780acd3f5dd54e1237acd03311c2d85a75fa48cc4161372290656503edcf0fe
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →