New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City prediction
SLC
2026-09-27 · USA · Kickoff 2026-09-26T23:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: New York Red Bulls (H) at 51.7%. The double-chance call is 12 at 76.6%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-22T14:14:43+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 51.7%
Low12 · 76.6%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-22T14:14:43+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is hp_goals_blend_raw; H has probability 51.7%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 24%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
- Fixture sourced from the market schedule; market prices are excluded from this model forecast.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 30.6% | 39.7% | 29.7% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 54.6% | 22.2% | 23.2% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-21
Data fingerprint: 3c31f7e07fc46ea27c5cd1a433d249af607b16886b4a3666f8ed4bdf0ba14fa6
Model: existing-source-policy-v1