Newcastle vs Hull prediction
H2026-09-19 · E0 · Kickoff 2026-09-19T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Newcastle vs Hull prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Newcastle (H) at 60.1%. The double-chance call is 1X at 81.8%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:06:15+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 60.1%
Low1X · 81.8%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:06:15+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 60.1%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 24%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
- At least one team has fewer than ten historical matches.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 36.3% | 36.8% | 26.8% |
| Market · margin removed | 60.1% | 21.6% | 18.2% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 39.3% | 29.1% | 31.6% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-14
Data fingerprint: 4976c7a08912c84794a9f8938a116d7cb612e9f910eaf6ee372ed7c6830fe749
Model: existing-source-policy-v1