Newells Old Boys vs Union de Santa Fe prediction
UdSF2026-11-01 · ARG · Kickoff 2026-11-01T21:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Newells Old Boys vs Union de Santa Fe prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Newells Old Boys (H) at 50.6%. The double-chance call is 1X at 78.2%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-30T08:44:20+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 50.6%
Low1X · 78.2%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-30T08:44:20+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 50.6%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 14%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 36.2% | 36.9% | 26.9% |
| Market · margin removed | 50.6% | 27.6% | 21.8% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 46.6% | 28.2% | 25.2% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-27. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Newells Old Boys
Scored / game: 0.90
Conceded / game: 0.50
Clean sheets: 5 / 10
Union de Santa Fe
Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Head to head
2026-04-18 · Union de Santa Fe 2–3 Newells Old Boys
2025-11-01 · Newells Old Boys 0–1 Union de Santa Fe
2025-04-19 · Union de Santa Fe 1–1 Newells Old Boys
2024-11-02 · Union de Santa Fe 2–0 Newells Old Boys
2024-02-09 · Union de Santa Fe 1–3 Newells Old Boys
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-27
Data fingerprint: 3408b9d19c2d972a79d9dd482739cb1227a8ddab38d53b658f72139ab8428ded
Model: existing-source-policy-v1