Newport County vs Colchester prediction
C2026-10-10 · E3 · Kickoff 2026-10-10T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Newport County vs Colchester prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Colchester (A) at 37.9%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.3%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:25+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–0
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 37.9%
Low12 · 73.3%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:25+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 37.9%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 11%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 28.0% | 38.0% | 34.1% |
| Market · margin removed | 35.4% | 26.7% | 37.9% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 36.2% | 27.0% | 36.8% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-03. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Newport County
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Colchester
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-03-07 · Newport County 1–2 Colchester
2025-12-20 · Colchester 4–1 Newport County
2025-04-12 · Newport County 0–2 Colchester
2024-12-14 · Colchester 0–0 Newport County
2024-03-29 · Colchester 2–1 Newport County
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-03
Data fingerprint: ff481ab1b60b57ba444d5cd87ddf0f768de47d874c188cab8d2323b80a8e437d
Model: existing-source-policy-v1