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Newport County vs York prediction

2026-10-17 · E3 · Kickoff 2026-10-17T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Newport County vs York match analysis

What is the Newport County vs York prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: York (A) at 49.9%. The double-chance call is 12 at 75.0%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:39:46+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 49.9%

Low
1 25.2%X 25.0%2 49.9%
Double chance

12 · 75.0%

Low
1X 50.1%X2 74.8%12 75.0%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:39:46+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 49.9%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 18%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
  • At least one team has fewer than ten historical matches.
Method1X2
Elo ratings27.2%37.2%35.6%
Market · margin removed25.2%25.0%49.9%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson24.8%21.8%53.4%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-10. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Newport County

DDWDW

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-10Colchester (H)1–0
2026-10-03Gillingham (A)0–0
2026-09-26Grimsby (H)2–1
2026-09-19Accrington (A)0–0
2026-09-12Fleetwood Town (H)1–1

York

DWLWD

Scored / game: 1.89
Conceded / game: 1.22
Clean sheets: 2 / 9

2026-10-10Northampton (H)1–1
2026-09-26Gillingham (H)3–0
2026-09-19Chesterfield (A)0–2
2026-09-12Swindon (H)4–0
2026-09-05Crewe (A)1–1

Head to head

No prior meetings in this archived dataset.

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T08:39:46+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-10
Data fingerprint: 11b19ca8ac19b9178cd8e96330c42442373b60ddea9459999c77ac54d20345b2
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →