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Nijmegen vs Groningen prediction

2026-10-25 · N1 · Kickoff 2026-10-25T13:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Nijmegen vs Groningen match analysis

What is the Nijmegen vs Groningen prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Nijmegen (H) at 41.5%. The double-chance call is 12 at 75.7%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:10:03+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–2

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 41.5%

Low
1 41.5%X 24.3%2 34.2%
Double chance

12 · 75.7%

Low
1X 65.8%X2 58.5%12 75.7%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:10:03+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 41.5%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 19%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings41.0%34.5%24.5%
Market · margin removed41.5%24.3%34.2%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson60.3%20.7%18.9%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-18. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Nijmegen

DLDDD

Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-10-18For Sittard (H)2–2
2026-10-10Ajax (A)1–1
2026-09-20Go Ahead Eagles (H)1–1
2026-09-12Cambuur (A)0–3
2026-09-08Excelsior (H)2–2

Groningen

DDWWL

Scored / game: 2.40
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-18Ajax (H)2–5
2026-10-11Excelsior (A)5–1
2026-09-18Zwolle (H)3–0
2026-09-12Go Ahead Eagles (A)1–1
2026-09-06Twente (H)2–2

Head to head

2026-05-10 · Groningen 2–1 Nijmegen

2025-11-09 · Nijmegen 2–0 Groningen

2025-02-08 · Groningen 2–1 Nijmegen

2024-11-03 · Nijmegen 6–0 Groningen

2023-04-25 · Groningen 0–1 Nijmegen

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T14:10:03+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-18
Data fingerprint: ab910b166205e4a75ed780d1e2e3e5a758136c5819afa7dc27d6c6e0ba3dd6e0
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →