Norwich vs Portsmouth prediction
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2026-10-17 · E1 · Kickoff 2026-10-17T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Norwich vs Portsmouth prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Norwich (H) at 55.3%. The double-chance call is 1X at 78.9%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:39:36+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 0–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 55.3%
Medium1X · 78.9%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:39:36+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 55.3%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 17%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 37.9% | 36.0% | 26.0% |
| Market · margin removed | 55.3% | 23.6% | 21.1% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 54.8% | 22.5% | 22.7% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-14. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Norwich
Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Portsmouth
Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-04-03 · Norwich 1–1 Portsmouth
2025-08-16 · Portsmouth 1–2 Norwich
2025-04-18 · Norwich 3–5 Portsmouth
2024-12-10 · Portsmouth 0–0 Norwich
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-14
Data fingerprint: 32a741e8b9a6cb5e5b3f3d332db12ba12ca3c681df373f2aa3e36e9bc0cd3d3d
Model: existing-source-policy-v1