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Nurnberg vs Darmstadt prediction

2026-11-07 · D2 · Kickoff 2026-11-07T12:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Nurnberg vs Darmstadt match analysis

What is the Nurnberg vs Darmstadt prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Nurnberg (H) at 55.2%. The double-chance call is 1X at 77.9%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:27:37+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 55.2%

Medium
1 55.2%X 22.7%2 22.1%
Double chance

1X · 77.9%

Low
1X 77.9%X2 44.8%12 77.3%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:27:37+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 55.2%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 18%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings42.7%33.6%23.6%
Market · margin removed55.2%22.7%22.1%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson37.7%25.2%37.1%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-01. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Nurnberg

WDDLW

Scored / game: 2.40
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-11-01St Pauli (A)3–1
2026-10-24Kaiserslautern (H)0–1
2026-10-16Cottbus (A)1–1
2026-10-10Wolfsburg (H)4–4
2026-09-19Karlsruhe (A)1–0

Darmstadt

LWLDD

Scored / game: 0.90
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-31Magdeburg (H)1–1
2026-10-23St Pauli (H)0–0
2026-10-18Karlsruhe (A)0–4
2026-10-10Cottbus (H)3–1
2026-09-18Wolfsburg (A)1–5

Head to head

2026-01-23 · Darmstadt 2–0 Nurnberg

2025-08-08 · Nurnberg 0–1 Darmstadt

2025-01-31 · Nurnberg 1–0 Darmstadt

2024-08-25 · Darmstadt 1–1 Nurnberg

2023-03-31 · Nurnberg 0–1 Darmstadt

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-06T11:27:37+00:00
Training ends: 2026-11-01
Data fingerprint: 911697a77a486eb44c5eb6bcd57f340d60ca50f2ab273f5a1d0cf412c293c04a
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →