Oldham vs Cheltenham prediction
C2026-10-17 · E3 · Kickoff 2026-10-17T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Oldham vs Cheltenham prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Oldham (H) at 56.2%. The double-chance call is 1X at 79.0%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:39:47+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 4–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 56.2%
Low1X · 79.0%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:39:47+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 56.2%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 20%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 36.4% | 36.8% | 26.8% |
| Market · margin removed | 56.2% | 22.8% | 21.0% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 54.9% | 24.3% | 20.8% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-10. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Oldham
Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Cheltenham
Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Head to head
2026-01-17 · Oldham 2–1 Cheltenham
2025-09-20 · Cheltenham 0–3 Oldham
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-10
Data fingerprint: 11b19ca8ac19b9178cd8e96330c42442373b60ddea9459999c77ac54d20345b2
Model: existing-source-policy-v1