Oldham vs Crawley Town prediction
CT
2026-10-31 · E3 · Kickoff 2026-10-31T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Oldham vs Crawley Town prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Oldham (H) at 57.1%. The double-chance call is 1X at 79.8%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-30T09:55:24+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 0–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 57.1%
Medium1X · 79.8%
MediumDouble chance was published at 2026-10-30T09:55:24+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 57.1%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 11%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 45.8% | 32.1% | 22.1% |
| Market · margin removed | 57.1% | 22.8% | 20.2% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 54.2% | 25.0% | 20.8% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-27. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Oldham
Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Crawley Town
Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Head to head
2026-02-28 · Oldham 2–0 Crawley Town
2025-12-13 · Crawley Town 2–2 Oldham
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-27
Data fingerprint: 3007011e1b3993a870e65f5ebff3c16dc74dd9e098655c8a49ebb7f4e4bf9b07
Model: existing-source-policy-v1