Olympiakos vs Panathinaikos prediction
P2026-10-11 · G1 · Kickoff 2026-10-11T18:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Olympiakos vs Panathinaikos prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Olympiakos (H) at 43.8%. The double-chance call is 1X at 72.9%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:33+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 43.8%
Low1X · 72.9%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:33+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 43.8%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 7%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 41.2% | 34.4% | 24.4% |
| Market · margin removed | 43.8% | 29.1% | 27.1% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 47.9% | 28.7% | 23.4% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Olympiakos
Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 0.70
Clean sheets: 5 / 10
Panathinaikos
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Head to head
2026-05-13 · Olympiakos 1–0 Panathinaikos
2026-04-19 · Panathinaikos 0–2 Olympiakos
2026-02-08 · Olympiakos 0–1 Panathinaikos
2025-09-21 · Panathinaikos 1–1 Olympiakos
2025-05-11 · Panathinaikos 0–1 Olympiakos
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: 26573149c35a9dd42438480796dadb5adf16a351bdbe28503d2b662be491f1ac
Model: existing-source-policy-v1