Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Mechelen prediction
M2026-11-07 · B1 · Kickoff 2026-11-07T17:15:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Mechelen prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Oud-Heverlee Leuven (H) at 40.9%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.2%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:27:33+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 40.9%
Low12 · 73.2%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:27:33+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 40.9%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 14%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 29.5% | 39.5% | 31.0% |
| Market · margin removed | 40.9% | 26.8% | 32.2% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 40.3% | 25.9% | 33.8% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-04. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Mechelen
Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-02-01 · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2–2 Mechelen
2025-10-25 · Mechelen 1–1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2025-05-03 · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1–2 Mechelen
2025-04-13 · Mechelen 1–1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2025-01-31 · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1–0 Mechelen
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-04
Data fingerprint: 2caff8dcbc6d2927662c44498308f3731778c3fcb99b5d8529bed3d9c9d5f44c
Model: existing-source-policy-v1