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Oviedo vs Eibar prediction

2026-10-12 · SP2 · Kickoff 2026-10-12T16:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Oviedo vs Eibar match analysis

What is the Oviedo vs Eibar prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Draw (D) at 29.3%. The double-chance call is 1X at 71.6%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:50+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

X · 29.3%

Low
1 42.3%X 29.3%2 28.4%
Double chance

1X · 71.6%

Low
1X 71.6%X2 57.7%12 70.7%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:50+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; D has probability 29.3%.
  • The existing decision policy selects a draw in this close match; the published pick differs from the largest probability.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 10%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings31.9%39.0%29.0%
Market · margin removed42.3%29.3%28.4%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson39.9%30.8%29.3%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-05. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Oviedo

DWLWL

Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 6 / 10

2026-10-02Eldense (A)1–4
2026-09-27Sp Gijon (H)2–0
2026-09-20Sabadell (A)1–3
2026-09-13Valladolid (A)3–0
2026-09-06Burgos (H)0–0

Eibar

WWWWW

Scored / game: 2.10
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 5 / 10

2026-10-03Albacete (A)3–1
2026-09-27Las Palmas (H)3–2
2026-09-19Eldense (A)2–1
2026-09-14Celta B (A)4–0
2026-09-06Granada (H)3–0

Head to head

2025-04-05 · Eibar 1–1 Oviedo

2024-09-29 · Oviedo 1–0 Eibar

2024-06-02 · Eibar 4–3 Oviedo

2023-11-19 · Oviedo 2–1 Eibar

2023-04-01 · Oviedo 1–1 Eibar

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T10:14:50+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-05
Data fingerprint: 111fee2610cb09e2777347deba22575e97d82bd8c3f5aad6d57876dee47e48bb
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →