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Pachuca vs Cruz Azul prediction

2026-10-22 · MEX · Kickoff 2026-10-22T03:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Pachuca vs Cruz Azul match analysis

What is the Pachuca vs Cruz Azul prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Pachuca (H) at 43.4%. The double-chance call is 12 at 72.3%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-15T03:01:54+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–2

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 43.4%

Low
1 43.4%X 27.7%2 28.9%
Double chance

12 · 72.3%

Low
1X 71.1%X2 56.6%12 72.3%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-15T03:01:54+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is hp_goals_blend_raw; H has probability 43.4%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 15%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
  • Fixture sourced from the market schedule; market prices are excluded from this model forecast.
Method1X2
Elo ratings26.8%36.8%36.4%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson42.2%26.5%31.4%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Pachuca

WWDLD

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-12Necaxa (H)3–3
2026-09-27Santos Laguna (A)0–1
2026-09-21Club Tijuana (H)2–2
2026-09-12Atlante (A)3–0
2026-09-05Juarez (A)2–0

Cruz Azul

WWLDD

Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-12UNAM Pumas (A)3–3
2026-09-26Toluca (H)3–3
2026-09-20Monterrey (A)0–1
2026-09-13Club America (H)4–3
2026-09-07Santos Laguna (H)1–0

Head to head

2026-04-05 · Cruz Azul 1–2 Pachuca

2025-09-14 · Pachuca 0–1 Cruz Azul

2025-02-09 · Cruz Azul 2–1 Pachuca

2024-09-29 · Pachuca 2–4 Cruz Azul

2024-01-14 · Cruz Azul 0–1 Pachuca

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-15T03:01:54+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 19cee87c099e58c298de2e43624645d85474709f94708cc7916e06b7be489b64
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →