Palermo vs Padova prediction
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2026-09-19 · I2 · Kickoff 2026-09-19T13:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Palermo vs Padova prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Palermo (H) at 60.6%. The double-chance call is 1X at 83.8%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:11:13+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 60.6%
Medium1X · 83.8%
MediumDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:11:13+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 60.6%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 13%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 48.1% | 31.0% | 21.0% |
| Market · margin removed | 60.6% | 23.1% | 16.2% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 55.6% | 24.7% | 19.7% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-13
Data fingerprint: a8dacf1b0e99671dcf92790717ff9a7085a0eb75aff0e83620ce9d658a4e7479
Model: existing-source-policy-v1