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Paris SG vs Troyes prediction

2026-11-07 · F1 · Kickoff 2026-11-07T20:05:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Paris SG vs Troyes match analysis

What is the Paris SG vs Troyes prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Paris SG (H) at 87.3%. The double-chance call is 1X at 96.2%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:27:46+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 87.3%

Low
1 87.3%X 8.8%2 3.8%
Double chance

1X · 96.2%

Low
1X 96.2%X2 12.7%12 91.2%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:27:46+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 87.3%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 26%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings63.3%23.3%13.3%
Market · margin removed87.3%8.8%3.8%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson89.4%7.1%3.5%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-02. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Paris SG

WWWWW

Scored / game: 2.20
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-30Le Havre (A)5–1
2026-10-26Lyon (H)2–0
2026-10-17Strasbourg (A)3–1
2026-10-10Le Mans (H)3–1
2026-09-20Marseille (A)2–1

Troyes

LLLDW

Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-31Le Mans (H)2–0
2026-10-25Toulouse (A)0–0
2026-10-17Lens (H)1–3
2026-10-11Marseille (H)0–2
2026-09-19Angers (A)0–2

Head to head

2023-05-07 · Troyes 1–3 Paris SG

2022-10-29 · Paris SG 4–3 Troyes

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-06T11:27:46+00:00
Training ends: 2026-11-02
Data fingerprint: 357d7080715e35bbe8ed6d60cb83ef0839bec698701c34343197977631eb33c4
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →