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Partick vs Arbroath prediction

2026-10-03 · SC1 · Kickoff 2026-10-03T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Partick vs Arbroath match analysis

What is the Partick vs Arbroath prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Partick (H) at 67.0%. The double-chance call is 1X at 88.3%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-02T09:18:50+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 67.0%

Medium
1 67.0%X 21.3%2 11.7%
Double chance

1X · 88.3%

Medium
1X 88.3%X2 33.0%12 78.7%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-02T09:18:50+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 67.0%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 19%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings48.3%30.9%20.9%
Market · margin removed67.0%21.3%11.7%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson65.2%20.5%14.3%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-25. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Partick

DDWLD

Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 0.50
Clean sheets: 6 / 10

2026-09-19Raith Rvs (H)0–0
2026-09-15Stenhousemuir (A)0–1
2026-09-05Ayr (H)1–0
2026-08-29Queens Park (H)0–0
2026-08-21Inverness C (A)1–1

Arbroath

WDLLW

Scored / game: 0.60
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-09-25Queens Park (H)2–1
2026-09-19Stenhousemuir (A)0–1
2026-09-12Raith Rvs (A)0–4
2026-09-05Dunfermline (H)1–1
2026-08-29Livingston (H)1–0

Head to head

2026-04-25 · Arbroath 0–0 Partick

2026-02-28 · Partick 0–0 Arbroath

2025-12-13 · Arbroath 2–1 Partick

2025-10-04 · Partick 1–1 Arbroath

2024-03-23 · Arbroath 0–1 Partick

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-02T09:18:50+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-25
Data fingerprint: 850e73811e449d38f721499b59ec4747eef72946219f66a7de07baab312c02ff
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →