Petrolul vs Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe prediction
SSG2026-10-17 · ROM · Kickoff 2026-10-17T14:15:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Petrolul vs Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Petrolul (H) at 45.8%. The double-chance call is 1X at 73.4%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-16T07:38:48+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 45.8%
Low1X · 73.4%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-16T07:38:48+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 45.8%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 9%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 37.4% | 36.3% | 26.3% |
| Market · margin removed | 45.8% | 27.6% | 26.6% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 39.9% | 29.6% | 30.5% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Petrolul
Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe
Scored / game: 0.70
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Head to head
2025-04-04 · Petrolul 2–1 Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe
2025-03-08 · Petrolul 1–0 Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe
2024-11-02 · Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe 1–1 Petrolul
2024-03-08 · Petrolul 1–2 Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe
2023-11-04 · Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe 0–0 Petrolul
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: e5a86057e06573c31c93cdd7ed4235879964431ad4fd01922a16ecccd157c955
Model: existing-source-policy-v1