Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Lodz prediction
WL2026-10-11 · POL · Kickoff 2026-10-11T12:45:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Lodz prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Widzew Lodz (A) at 37.3%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.0%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:13:00+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 37.3%
Low12 · 73.0%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:13:00+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 37.3%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 15%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 38.5% | 35.7% | 25.7% |
| Market · margin removed | 35.7% | 27.0% | 37.3% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 50.5% | 26.3% | 23.1% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Piast Gliwice
Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Widzew Lodz
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
2026-05-23 · Widzew Lodz 2–1 Piast Gliwice
2025-11-28 · Piast Gliwice 0–2 Widzew Lodz
2025-03-28 · Piast Gliwice 0–2 Widzew Lodz
2024-09-21 · Widzew Lodz 1–0 Piast Gliwice
2024-04-07 · Widzew Lodz 1–0 Piast Gliwice
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: f723add8e85c5861caf2a9c6c58cf82e7ef813a2dff0c0aa680a506dd7470e40
Model: existing-source-policy-v1