Pisa vs Palermo prediction
P
2026-10-28 · I2 · Kickoff 2026-10-28T18:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Pisa vs Palermo prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Pisa (H) at 40.9%. The double-chance call is 12 at 72.9%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-27T12:39:53+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 3–3
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 40.9%
Low12 · 72.9%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-27T12:39:53+00:00, before kickoff.
Frozen market prediction
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
Quote captured 2026-10-28T16:59:10+00:00. 0.8 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-28T17:00:13+00:00.
1 · 40.7%
✕ Wrong12 · 72.4%
✕ WrongPrediction vs Market
Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons.
The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.
These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.
| 90-minute 1X2 | Our model | Market sentiment | Market − model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pisa | 40.9% | 0.0% | N/A |
| Draw | 27.1% | 100.0% | N/A |
| Palermo | 31.9% | 0.0% | N/A |
Closed or inactive market.
Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.
Raw prices & normalization
For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.
Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 100.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw
Probability movement · raw market prices
Changes measure market pricing, not evidence that a team will win. First available sample may be later than market opening.
Pisa
Draw
Palermo
All event markets · 3
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-10-28?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $25.63K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5724323Fetched 2026-11-11T18:03:54+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-29T20:22:59.886188Z
Will Pisa SC vs. Palermo FC end in a draw?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 100.0% · No: 0.0%
Volume $21.06K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5724324Fetched 2026-11-11T18:03:54+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-29T21:39:02.94991Z
Will Palermo FC win on 2026-10-28?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $30.57K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5724325Fetched 2026-11-11T18:03:54+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-29T21:31:09.5531Z
Historical closing observations (not scored)
Retained for research. The market results record uses the separate one-hour cutoff.
Last pre-match observation: 2026-10-28T17:59:51+00:00.
View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 40.9%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 14%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 29.6% | 39.6% | 30.8% |
| Market · margin removed | 40.9% | 27.1% | 31.9% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 43.0% | 25.1% | 31.9% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-25. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Pisa
Scored / game: 2.00
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Palermo
Scored / game: 2.10
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2025-01-31 · Palermo 1–2 Pisa
2024-08-24 · Pisa 2–0 Palermo
2024-04-01 · Pisa 4–3 Palermo
2023-12-16 · Palermo 3–2 Pisa
2023-03-04 · Pisa 1–1 Palermo
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-25
Data fingerprint: d266fa5749cddb5dc69d972d8fba8bba792b74d630b8fcc8cfb3b91ff4b1d0bd
Model: existing-source-policy-v1