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Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon prediction

2026-10-10 · E2 · Kickoff 2026-10-10T11:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon match analysis

What is the Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Plymouth (H) at 63.9%. The double-chance call is 1X at 84.9%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:20+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 63.9%

Medium
1 63.9%X 21.0%2 15.1%
Double chance

1X · 84.9%

Medium
1X 84.9%X2 36.1%12 79.0%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:20+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 63.9%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 15%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings50.2%29.9%19.9%
Market · margin removed63.9%21.0%15.1%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson64.8%20.1%15.1%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-03. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Plymouth

WWWLW

Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-03Leyton Orient (A)2–0
2026-09-26Burton (H)0–1
2026-09-19Blackpool (A)4–2
2026-09-12Barnsley (H)3–0
2026-09-05Doncaster (A)3–2

AFC Wimbledon

LWWDD

Scored / game: 0.70
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 6 / 10

2026-09-26Cambridge (A)1–1
2026-09-17Milton Keynes Dons (H)0–0
2026-09-12Doncaster (H)1–0
2026-09-07Bromley (A)2–0
2026-09-02Burton (A)1–4

Head to head

2026-04-18 · AFC Wimbledon 1–3 Plymouth

2025-10-18 · Plymouth 1–2 AFC Wimbledon

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T10:14:20+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-03
Data fingerprint: e347d9b8e3998fe78dcfec439d2e81fb8461b280539cef3d9e0369bec41b122a
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →