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Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce prediction

2026-10-11 · POL · Kickoff 2026-10-11T15:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce match analysis

What is the Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Pogon Szczecin (H) at 50.7%. The double-chance call is 1X at 76.3%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-04T21:04:49+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 50.7%

Low
1 50.7%X 25.6%2 23.7%
Double chance

1X · 76.3%

Low
1X 76.3%X2 49.3%12 74.4%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-04T21:04:49+00:00, before kickoff.

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

Quote captured 2026-10-11T14:25:06+00:00. 4.9 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-11T14:30:09+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

1 · 40.8%

✓ Correct
1 40.8%2 28.9%X 30.3%
Market double chance prediction

1X · 71.1%

✓ Correct
12 69.7%1X 71.1%X2 59.2%
TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is hp_goals_blend_raw; H has probability 50.7%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 14%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
  • Fixture sourced from the market schedule; market prices are excluded from this model forecast.
Method1X2
Elo ratings39.6%35.2%25.2%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson53.5%24.8%21.7%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Pogon Szczecin

DDDWW

Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 0.70
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-09-20Piast Gliwice (A)2–1
2026-09-13Wieczysta Krakow (H)2–0
2026-09-07Wisla Plock (H)1–1
2026-08-29Zaglebie (A)0–0
2026-08-23Wisla (H)2–2

Korona Kielce

WDWLW

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-09-19Rakow (H)3–2
2026-09-15Gornik Zabrze (H)0–2
2026-09-12Slask Wroclaw (A)2–1
2026-09-05Wisla (H)1–1
2026-08-28Wisla Plock (A)2–0

Head to head

2026-03-16 · Pogon Szczecin 2–1 Korona Kielce

2025-09-13 · Korona Kielce 1–0 Pogon Szczecin

2024-12-09 · Korona Kielce 0–0 Pogon Szczecin

2024-07-20 · Pogon Szczecin 3–0 Korona Kielce

2024-03-17 · Korona Kielce 2–2 Pogon Szczecin

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-04T21:04:49+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: f723add8e85c5861caf2a9c6c58cf82e7ef813a2dff0c0aa680a506dd7470e40
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →