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Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom prediction

2026-10-24 · POL · Kickoff 2026-10-24T15:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom match analysis

What is the Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Pogon Szczecin (H) at 55.1%. The double-chance call is 1X at 79.1%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T11:57:18+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 4–3

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 55.1%

Medium
1 55.1%X 24.0%2 20.9%
Double chance

1X · 79.1%

Medium
1X 79.1%X2 44.9%12 76.0%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T11:57:18+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 55.1%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 7%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings48.1%30.9%20.9%
Market · margin removed55.1%24.0%20.9%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson53.6%23.8%22.7%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Pogon Szczecin

DWWWW

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 0.60
Clean sheets: 5 / 10

2026-10-17GKS Katowice (A)1–0
2026-10-11Korona Kielce (H)2–0
2026-09-20Piast Gliwice (A)2–1
2026-09-13Wieczysta Krakow (H)2–0
2026-09-07Wisla Plock (H)1–1

Radomiak Radom

DLLLL

Scored / game: 0.70
Conceded / game: 2.30
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-19Wisla Plock (A)0–1
2026-10-12Motor Lublin (H)2–3
2026-09-20Lech Poznan (A)1–5
2026-09-14Piast Gliwice (H)0–2
2026-09-05Widzew Lodz (A)0–0

Head to head

2025-12-06 · Pogon Szczecin 2–2 Radomiak Radom

2025-07-20 · Radomiak Radom 5–1 Pogon Szczecin

2025-05-10 · Radomiak Radom 2–0 Pogon Szczecin

2024-11-08 · Pogon Szczecin 0–1 Radomiak Radom

2024-02-16 · Radomiak Radom 0–4 Pogon Szczecin

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T11:57:18+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-19
Data fingerprint: 965b656406d8a47688282f8d4fe43de19290a7b9d25fa081c968abd6711025f5
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →