Portsmouth vs Stoke prediction
S2026-11-07 · E1 · Kickoff 2026-11-07T12:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Portsmouth vs Stoke prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Portsmouth (H) at 41.2%. The double-chance call is 12 at 71.3%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:27:42+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–2
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 41.2%
Low12 · 71.3%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:27:42+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 41.2%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 8%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 38.5% | 35.7% | 25.7% |
| Market · margin removed | 41.2% | 28.7% | 30.1% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 41.6% | 27.5% | 30.9% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-04. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Portsmouth
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 0.80
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Stoke
Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 0.80
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Head to head
2026-04-25 · Stoke 1–3 Portsmouth
2025-10-25 · Portsmouth 0–1 Stoke
2025-01-22 · Portsmouth 3–1 Stoke
2024-10-02 · Stoke 6–1 Portsmouth
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-04
Data fingerprint: 487925f8c67b5d9df031af7e6dd1902737f4d5041d15604e1d0762ee1b54ebf9
Model: existing-source-policy-v1