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Preston vs Southampton prediction

2026-11-07 · E1 · Kickoff 2026-11-07T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Preston vs Southampton match analysis

What is the Preston vs Southampton prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Southampton (A) at 59.1%. The double-chance call is X2 at 81.6%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:27:42+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–0

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 59.1%

Medium
1 18.4%X 22.5%2 59.1%
Double chance

X2 · 81.6%

Low
1X 40.9%X2 81.6%12 77.5%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:27:42+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 59.1%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 9%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings20.0%30.0%50.0%
Market · margin removed18.4%22.5%59.1%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson25.3%23.3%51.4%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-04. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Preston

LLDLL

Scored / game: 0.90
Conceded / game: 2.10
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-11-03Sheffield United (H)2–3
2026-10-31Stoke (A)0–2
2026-10-24West Brom (H)1–1
2026-10-17Wrexham (A)1–4
2026-10-13Birmingham (A)0–4

Southampton

WDWWD

Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-11-03West Brom (A)1–1
2026-10-31QPR (H)4–1
2026-10-24West Ham (A)3–2
2026-10-17Bolton (H)0–0
2026-10-14Norwich (A)1–0

Head to head

2026-05-02 · Preston 1–3 Southampton

2025-11-01 · Southampton 0–2 Preston

2024-04-16 · Southampton 3–0 Preston

2023-10-25 · Preston 2–2 Southampton

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-06T11:27:42+00:00
Training ends: 2026-11-04
Data fingerprint: 487925f8c67b5d9df031af7e6dd1902737f4d5041d15604e1d0762ee1b54ebf9
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →