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PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen prediction

2026-10-09 · N1 · Kickoff 2026-10-09T18:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen match analysis

What is the PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: PSV Eindhoven (H) at 75.1%. The double-chance call is 1X at 89.4%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:38+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 75.1%

Low
1 75.1%X 14.2%2 10.6%
Double chance

1X · 89.4%

Low
1X 89.4%X2 24.9%12 85.8%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:38+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 75.1%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 26%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings57.8%26.1%16.1%
Market · margin removed75.1%14.2%10.6%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson83.7%10.0%6.3%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

PSV Eindhoven

WWWWL

Scored / game: 3.50
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-09-20Twente (A)2–3
2026-09-13Sparta Rotterdam (H)4–1
2026-09-05Ajax (A)3–1
2026-08-30Utrecht (A)6–1
2026-08-23Groningen (H)5–1

Heerenveen

LDLDW

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 5 / 10

2026-09-19Sparta Rotterdam (A)4–0
2026-09-13Telstar (H)0–0
2026-09-06AZ Alkmaar (H)2–3
2026-08-30Willem II (A)2–2
2026-08-22Zwolle (H)0–2

Head to head

2026-02-21 · PSV Eindhoven 3–1 Heerenveen

2025-12-06 · Heerenveen 0–2 PSV Eindhoven

2025-03-08 · PSV Eindhoven 2–1 Heerenveen

2024-12-14 · Heerenveen 1–0 PSV Eindhoven

2024-04-25 · Heerenveen 0–8 PSV Eindhoven

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T10:14:38+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: f8e618e2539e6f19b9b95f6c526234719da704c42f92b9bb714ec0a0731e0881
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →