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Qingdao Hainiu vs Beijing Guoan prediction

2026-10-09 · CHN · Kickoff 2026-10-09T11:35:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Qingdao Hainiu vs Beijing Guoan match analysis

What is the Qingdao Hainiu vs Beijing Guoan prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Beijing Guoan (A) at 53.1%. The double-chance call is X2 at 77.7%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-02T11:39:22+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 0–3

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 53.1%

Low
1 22.3%X 24.6%2 53.1%
Double chance

X2 · 77.7%

Low
1X 46.9%X2 77.7%12 75.4%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-02T11:39:22+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is hp_goals_blend_raw; A has probability 53.1%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 6%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
  • Fixture sourced from the market schedule; market prices are excluded from this model forecast.
Method1X2
Elo ratings20.2%30.2%49.7%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson23.6%23.7%52.7%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-18. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Qingdao Hainiu

LLLLL

Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 2.60
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-09-05Dalian Yingbo (A)1–2
2026-08-29Wuhan Three Towns (H)1–5
2026-08-23Shanghai Port (A)1–2
2026-08-14Shandong Taishan (A)1–3
2026-08-08Shanghai Shenhua (H)0–1

Beijing Guoan

WWDDD

Scored / game: 2.20
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-09-05Shanghai Port (A)0–0
2026-08-28Dalian Yingbo (A)1–1
2026-08-22Yunnan Yukun (H)3–3
2026-08-18Shanghai Shenhua (A)3–0
2026-08-15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (A)4–2

Head to head

2026-05-15 · Beijing Guoan 4–2 Qingdao Hainiu

2025-10-26 · Beijing Guoan 2–4 Qingdao Hainiu

2025-05-17 · Qingdao Hainiu 1–1 Beijing Guoan

2024-10-19 · Beijing Guoan 6–0 Qingdao Hainiu

2024-05-21 · Qingdao Hainiu 1–1 Beijing Guoan

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-02T11:39:22+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-18
Data fingerprint: d62a6a3534f36059e5a7eed41cea2a544084810ba5feb2bf63a70aa885ca41ec
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →