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Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Tieren prediction

2026-10-17 · CHN · Kickoff 2026-10-17T11:35:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Tieren match analysis

What is the Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Tieren prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Qingdao Hainiu (H) at 40.8%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.6%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-10T11:38:58+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 0–4

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 40.8%

Low
1 40.8%X 25.4%2 33.8%
Double chance

12 · 74.6%

Low
1X 66.2%X2 59.2%12 74.6%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-10T11:38:58+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is hp_goals_blend_raw; H has probability 40.8%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 15%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
  • Fixture sourced from the market schedule; market prices are excluded from this model forecast.
Method1X2
Elo ratings30.5%39.7%29.7%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson41.8%24.6%33.6%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-18. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Qingdao Hainiu

LLLLL

Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 2.60
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-09-05Dalian Yingbo (A)1–2
2026-08-29Wuhan Three Towns (H)1–5
2026-08-23Shanghai Port (A)1–2
2026-08-14Shandong Taishan (A)1–3
2026-08-08Shanghai Shenhua (H)0–1

Liaoning Tieren

LDLLL

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-09-12Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (A)0–1
2026-09-06Yunnan Yukun (A)0–5
2026-08-29Chengdu Rongcheng (A)1–2
2026-08-23Henan Songshan Longmen (H)4–4
2026-08-15Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (H)1–2

Head to head

2026-05-20 · Liaoning Tieren 2–1 Qingdao Hainiu

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-10T11:38:58+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-18
Data fingerprint: d62a6a3534f36059e5a7eed41cea2a544084810ba5feb2bf63a70aa885ca41ec
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →