Queretaro vs Cruz Azul prediction
CA2026-10-26 · MEX · Kickoff 2026-10-26T02:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Queretaro vs Cruz Azul prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Cruz Azul (A) at 41.1%. The double-chance call is 12 at 72.1%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-19T01:01:21+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–3
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 41.1%
Low12 · 72.1%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-19T01:01:21+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. Kickoff changed after model publication. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is hp_goals_blend_raw; A has probability 41.1%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 8%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
- Fixture sourced from the market schedule; market prices are excluded from this model forecast.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 26.0% | 36.0% | 38.0% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 30.2% | 27.6% | 42.2% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Queretaro
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 0.80
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Cruz Azul
Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-04-22 · Queretaro 1–1 Cruz Azul
2025-09-25 · Cruz Azul 2–2 Queretaro
2025-02-24 · Cruz Azul 1–0 Queretaro
2024-08-24 · Queretaro 0–2 Cruz Azul
2024-02-03 · Queretaro 1–3 Cruz Azul
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 19cee87c099e58c298de2e43624645d85474709f94708cc7916e06b7be489b64
Model: existing-source-policy-v1