Racing Club Montevideo vs CA Penarol Montevideo market sentiment
CPM
2026-10-04 · MARKET_URU1 · Kickoff 2026-10-04T22:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Racing Club Montevideo vs CA Penarol Montevideo market prediction?
Market prediction: 2 at 44.7%. The market-derived double-chance prediction is X2 at 76.4%.
These are market-implied probabilities, separate from the Kickstatix model and excluded from its track record.
Market Prediction · This match is listed by the market feed. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. It is excluded from model accuracy and football-result statistics.
The saved market forecast and result appear below.
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Frozen market prediction
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
Quote captured 2026-10-04T21:25:04+00:00. 4.9 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-04T21:30:03+00:00.
2 · 44.7%
Awaiting result
X2 · 76.4%
Awaiting result
Market Sentiment
Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons.
The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.
These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.
| 90-minute 1X2 | Our model | Market sentiment | Market − model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Club Montevideo | N/A | 0.0% | N/A |
| Draw | N/A | 0.0% | N/A |
| CA Penarol Montevideo | N/A | 100.0% | N/A |
Closed or inactive market.
Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Market-listed match. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. Excluded from the model track record.
Raw prices & normalization
For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.
Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 100.00% raw
Probability movement · raw market prices
Changes measure market pricing, not evidence that a team will win. First available sample may be later than market opening.
Racing Club Montevideo
Historical price samples unavailable.
Draw
Historical price samples unavailable.
CA Penarol Montevideo
Historical price samples unavailable.
All event markets · 3
Will Racing Club Montevideo win on 2026-10-04?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $2.67K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5057637Fetched 2026-11-12T23:59:09+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-06T02:02:31.5537Z
Will Racing Club Montevideo vs. CA Penarol Montevideo end in a draw?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $2.71K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5057638Fetched 2026-11-12T23:59:09+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-06T00:36:24.947883Z
Will CA Penarol Montevideo win on 2026-10-04?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 100.0% · No: 0.0%
Volume $8.55K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5057639Fetched 2026-11-12T23:59:09+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-06T01:52:26.459476Z
View source event ↗ · Listed from explicit competition, ordered teams and game start time in the market feed.
Market-only coverage. No model forecast or verified football result is claimed.