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Rakow vs GKS Katowice prediction

2026-10-09 · POL · Kickoff 2026-10-09T18:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Rakow vs GKS Katowice match analysis

What is the Rakow vs GKS Katowice prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Rakow (H) at 45.3%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.4%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:13:00+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–4

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 45.3%

Low
1 45.3%X 25.6%2 29.2%
Double chance

12 · 74.4%

Low
1X 70.8%X2 54.7%12 74.4%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:13:00+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 45.3%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 20%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings34.5%37.7%27.7%
Market · margin removed45.3%25.6%29.2%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson54.5%23.0%22.5%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Rakow

LLWLL

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 2.10
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-09-19Korona Kielce (A)2–3
2026-09-15Zaglebie (H)2–3
2026-09-11Motor Lublin (H)2–1
2026-09-06Lech Poznan (A)0–1
2026-09-03Gornik Zabrze (H)1–2

GKS Katowice

WWLLW

Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-09-19Cracovia (H)3–2
2026-09-12Zaglebie (A)1–2
2026-09-04Piast Gliwice (A)0–3
2026-08-30Gornik Zabrze (A)3–2
2026-08-23Wisla Plock (H)5–0

Head to head

2025-12-07 · Rakow 1–0 GKS Katowice

2025-07-19 · GKS Katowice 0–1 Rakow

2025-02-08 · Rakow 1–2 GKS Katowice

2024-08-03 · GKS Katowice 0–1 Rakow

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T08:13:00+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: f723add8e85c5861caf2a9c6c58cf82e7ef813a2dff0c0aa680a506dd7470e40
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →