Kickstatix football crestKICKSTATIXFOOTBALL. WITH THE FACTS.
Every match. Every call.
Our track record ↗
← FOOTBALL PREDICTIONS

Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City prediction

2026-10-25 · USA · Kickoff 2026-10-25T03:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City match analysis

What is the Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Real Salt Lake (H) at 43.9%. The double-chance call is 12 at 75.2%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-18T01:34:28+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 43.9%

Low
1 43.9%X 24.8%2 31.2%
Double chance

12 · 75.2%

Low
1X 68.8%X2 56.1%12 75.2%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-18T01:34:28+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. Kickoff changed after model publication. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is hp_goals_blend_raw; H has probability 43.9%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 21%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
  • Fixture sourced from the market schedule; market prices are excluded from this model forecast.
Method1X2
Elo ratings27.6%37.6%34.8%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson49.1%23.3%27.7%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-15. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Real Salt Lake

LLWLD

Scored / game: 0.90
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-15San Jose Earthquakes (H)1–1
2026-10-11Philadelphia Union (A)1–2
2026-09-27New England Revolution (H)3–0
2026-09-24Seattle Sounders (A)0–2
2026-09-20Vancouver Whitecaps (H)0–3

St. Louis City

WWWWD

Scored / game: 2.70
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-15Vancouver Whitecaps (H)0–0
2026-10-12Los Angeles Galaxy (H)6–2
2026-10-01New York Red Bulls (A)3–0
2026-09-20Toronto FC (H)3–1
2026-09-13Minnesota United (H)4–2

Head to head

2026-08-02 · St. Louis City 1–1 Real Salt Lake

2025-10-19 · St. Louis City 2–2 Real Salt Lake

2025-07-06 · Real Salt Lake 3–2 St. Louis City

2024-03-31 · Real Salt Lake 3–1 St. Louis City

2024-02-25 · St. Louis City 1–1 Real Salt Lake

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-18T01:34:28+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-15
Data fingerprint: 6bb7a1bf8a6940f5bc28e6a7c629f931b66ffe851e3b529a332b986c23a33312
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →