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Ried vs Austria Vienna prediction

2026-10-17 · AUT · Kickoff 2026-10-17T17:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Ried vs Austria Vienna match analysis

What is the Ried vs Austria Vienna prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Ried (H) at 39.4%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.5%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T07:38:09+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–2

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 39.4%

Low
1 39.4%X 26.5%2 34.1%
Double chance

12 · 73.5%

Low
1X 65.9%X2 60.6%12 73.5%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T07:38:09+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 39.4%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 12%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings27.3%37.3%35.4%
Market · margin removed39.4%26.5%34.1%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson29.1%25.1%45.8%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-11. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Ried

WLDWW

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-10Tirol (A)2–1
2026-09-20Wolfsberger AC (H)4–1
2026-09-11Salzburg (H)1–1
2026-08-30Hartberg (A)2–3
2026-08-21Grazer AK (H)1–0

Austria Vienna

LLWDL

Scored / game: 0.90
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-10Sturm Graz (H)0–2
2026-09-19Grazer AK (A)2–2
2026-09-13A. Lustenau (H)2–1
2026-09-02Tirol (H)0–1
2026-08-30Salzburg (A)1–4

Head to head

2026-03-08 · Ried 0–2 Austria Vienna

2025-09-20 · Austria Vienna 3–2 Ried

2023-03-04 · Ried 1–3 Austria Vienna

2022-09-18 · Austria Vienna 3–0 Ried

2021-10-23 · Austria Vienna 4–1 Ried

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T07:38:09+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-11
Data fingerprint: 0f474107cf648d025b5df1a1bb13ce7a3605bd3e67570aba684e55fbe372049b
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →