Rochdale vs York prediction
Y2026-11-14 · E3 · Kickoff 2026-11-14T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Rochdale vs York prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: York (A) at 55.8%. The double-chance call is X2 at 78.8%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-13T14:41:53+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 55.8%
LowX2 · 78.8%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-13T14:41:53+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 55.8%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 21%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 27.4% | 37.4% | 35.2% |
| Market · margin removed | 21.2% | 22.9% | 55.8% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 27.7% | 22.3% | 50.0% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-03. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Rochdale
Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
York
Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
No prior meetings in this archived dataset.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-03
Data fingerprint: ddbfd90b365bb144d3deb971a83261c3a6a04a643b72f1201246e328f1d15440
Model: existing-source-policy-v1