Roma vs Sassuolo prediction
S2026-11-07 · I1 · Kickoff 2026-11-07T19:45:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Roma vs Sassuolo prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Roma (H) at 74.1%. The double-chance call is 1X at 89.6%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:27:56+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 3–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 74.1%
Medium1X · 89.6%
MediumDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:27:56+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 74.1%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 17%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 57.6% | 26.2% | 16.2% |
| Market · margin removed | 74.1% | 15.5% | 10.4% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 67.6% | 18.7% | 13.7% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-02. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Roma
Scored / game: 2.80
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 5 / 10
Sassuolo
Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 2.60
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Head to head
2026-01-10 · Roma 2–0 Sassuolo
2025-10-26 · Sassuolo 0–1 Roma
2024-03-17 · Roma 1–0 Sassuolo
2023-12-03 · Sassuolo 1–2 Roma
2023-03-12 · Roma 3–4 Sassuolo
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-02
Data fingerprint: 82c418b37eaef7de41d7efe459abbed78665de61cf3e87dfcaf9a6484eec3fd9
Model: existing-source-policy-v1