Rosario Central vs Ind. Rivadavia prediction
IR2026-10-11 · ARG · Kickoff 2026-10-11T20:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Rosario Central vs Ind. Rivadavia prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Rosario Central (H) at 48.4%. The double-chance call is 1X at 78.3%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:12:35+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 5–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 48.4%
Low1X · 78.3%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:12:35+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 48.4%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 8%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 40.4% | 34.8% | 24.8% |
| Market · margin removed | 48.4% | 30.0% | 21.7% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 46.0% | 27.2% | 26.8% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-06. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Rosario Central
Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 0.70
Clean sheets: 5 / 10
Ind. Rivadavia
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-03-23 · Ind. Rivadavia 2–0 Rosario Central
2024-11-05 · Ind. Rivadavia 1–1 Rosario Central
2024-02-08 · Rosario Central 1–0 Ind. Rivadavia
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-06
Data fingerprint: 559dac64fdcbc69d3541e7359be5386f251944b6dac22921b9bc9f319096f0b0
Model: existing-source-policy-v1