Ross County vs Alloa prediction
A2026-10-03 · SC2 · Kickoff 2026-10-03T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Ross County vs Alloa prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Ross County (H) at 74.2%. The double-chance call is 1X at 90.9%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-02T09:18:52+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 4–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 74.2%
Low1X · 90.9%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-02T09:18:52+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 74.2%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 37%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
- At least one team has fewer than ten historical matches.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 42.4% | 33.8% | 23.8% |
| Market · margin removed | 74.2% | 16.7% | 9.1% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 79.1% | 13.5% | 7.4% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Ross County
Scored / game: 3.14
Conceded / game: 0.57
Clean sheets: 4 / 7
Alloa
Scored / game: 0.90
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
No prior meetings in this archived dataset.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-19
Data fingerprint: 8dd95cf37af2263231e153f1357a93a7694fcdca1868a0b506c21cf1e8a6d284
Model: existing-source-policy-v1