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Salford vs Crawley Town prediction

2026-10-17 · E3 · Kickoff 2026-10-17T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Salford vs Crawley Town match analysis

What is the Salford vs Crawley Town prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Salford (H) at 70.3%. The double-chance call is 1X at 87.8%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:39:47+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 70.3%

Medium
1 70.3%X 17.5%2 12.2%
Double chance

1X · 87.8%

Medium
1X 87.8%X2 29.7%12 82.5%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:39:47+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 70.3%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 18%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings52.6%28.7%18.7%
Market · margin removed70.3%17.5%12.2%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson54.6%23.0%22.4%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-10. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Salford

DWWWW

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-10Cheltenham (A)2–0
2026-10-03Fleetwood Town (H)1–0
2026-09-26Oldham (A)4–1
2026-09-19Swindon (H)1–0
2026-09-12Rotherham (A)3–3

Crawley Town

DLLLD

Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-10Chesterfield (H)2–2
2026-09-19Grimsby (A)0–2
2026-09-12Cheltenham (H)1–3
2026-09-05Accrington (A)2–3
2026-09-01Northampton (A)1–1

Head to head

2026-05-02 · Crawley Town 0–0 Salford

2025-11-29 · Salford 4–3 Crawley Town

2024-01-13 · Crawley Town 0–1 Salford

2023-08-12 · Salford 1–1 Crawley Town

2023-01-28 · Crawley Town 3–2 Salford

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T08:39:47+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-10
Data fingerprint: 11b19ca8ac19b9178cd8e96330c42442373b60ddea9459999c77ac54d20345b2
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →