Salford vs Exeter prediction
E2026-10-31 · E3 · Kickoff 2026-10-31T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Salford vs Exeter prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Salford (H) at 59.0%. The double-chance call is 1X at 81.7%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-30T09:55:24+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 59.0%
Low1X · 81.7%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-30T09:55:24+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 59.0%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 25%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 44.7% | 32.6% | 22.6% |
| Market · margin removed | 59.0% | 22.8% | 18.3% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 33.6% | 36.5% | 30.0% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-27. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Salford
Scored / game: 2.20
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Exeter
Scored / game: 0.70
Conceded / game: 0.40
Clean sheets: 6 / 10
Head to head
No prior meetings in this archived dataset.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-27
Data fingerprint: 3007011e1b3993a870e65f5ebff3c16dc74dd9e098655c8a49ebb7f4e4bf9b07
Model: existing-source-policy-v1