Salford vs Northampton prediction
N2026-11-14 · E3 · Kickoff 2026-11-14T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Salford vs Northampton prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Salford (H) at 60.4%. The double-chance call is 1X at 84.1%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-13T14:41:53+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 60.4%
Low1X · 84.1%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-13T14:41:53+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 60.4%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 24%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 43.8% | 33.1% | 23.1% |
| Market · margin removed | 60.4% | 23.7% | 15.9% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 36.2% | 29.2% | 34.6% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-03. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Salford
Scored / game: 2.20
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Northampton
Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 0.80
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
2023-01-07 · Salford 2–1 Northampton
2022-10-08 · Northampton 0–1 Salford
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-03
Data fingerprint: ddbfd90b365bb144d3deb971a83261c3a6a04a643b72f1201246e328f1d15440
Model: existing-source-policy-v1