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Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto prediction

2026-10-17 · JPN · Kickoff 2026-10-17T05:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto match analysis

What is the Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (H) at 70.6%. The double-chance call is 1X at 89.6%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T07:38:35+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 70.6%

Low
1 70.6%X 19.0%2 10.4%
Double chance

1X · 89.6%

Low
1X 89.6%X2 29.4%12 81.0%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T07:38:35+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 70.6%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 25%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings45.9%32.0%22.0%
Market · margin removed70.6%19.0%10.4%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson51.0%26.2%22.8%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-11. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

WLWWW

Scored / game: 2.40
Conceded / game: 0.70
Clean sheets: 5 / 10

2026-10-11Verdy (A)2–0
2026-09-19Avispa Fukuoka (A)1–0
2026-09-12Cerezo Osaka (H)6–1
2026-09-06Okayama (A)2–3
2026-09-02Nagoya Grampus (H)3–0

Kyoto

DLLWL

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-10Machida (H)0–1
2026-09-19Okayama (A)2–1
2026-09-11Kashiwa Reysol (H)2–3
2026-09-06FC Tokyo (A)0–2
2026-09-02Yokohama F. Marinos (A)1–1

Head to head

2025-09-12 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Kyoto

2025-03-29 · Kyoto 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2024-11-03 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Kyoto

2024-05-19 · Kyoto 0–5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2023-09-23 · Kyoto 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T07:38:35+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-11
Data fingerprint: cdf7eef6db7d4f67df3ac48307d557e312712a9f245192079f78a88e4af30ac2
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →