Santander vs Espanol prediction
E
2026-10-24 · SP1 · Kickoff 2026-10-24T14:15:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Santander vs Espanol prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Santander (H) at 40.1%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.0%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:10:14+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 40.1%
Low12 · 74.0%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:10:14+00:00, before kickoff.
Frozen market prediction
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
Quote captured 2026-10-24T13:10:01+00:00. 5.0 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-24T13:16:42+00:00.
1 · 41.7%
✓ Correct12 · 73.4%
✓ CorrectPrediction vs Market
Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons.
The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.
These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.
| 90-minute 1X2 | Our model | Market sentiment | Market − model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santander | 40.1% | 100.0% | N/A |
| Draw | 26.0% | 0.0% | N/A |
| Espanol | 33.9% | 0.0% | N/A |
Closed or inactive market.
Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.
Raw prices & normalization
For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.
Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw
Probability movement · raw market prices
Changes measure market pricing, not evidence that a team will win. First available sample may be later than market opening.
Santander
Draw
Espanol
All event markets · 3
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-10-24?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 100.0% · No: 0.0%
Volume $186.58K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5538874Fetched 2026-11-11T17:21:26+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-25T17:24:51.204583Z
Will Real Racing Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $74.35K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5538879Fetched 2026-11-11T17:21:26+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-25T16:22:54.059577Z
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-10-24?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $83.62K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5538883Fetched 2026-11-11T17:21:26+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-25T17:08:50.037078Z
Historical closing observations (not scored)
Retained for research. The market results record uses the separate one-hour cutoff.
Last pre-match observation: 2026-10-24T14:09:12+00:00.
View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 40.1%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 17%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
- At least one team has fewer than ten historical matches.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 39.2% | 35.4% | 25.4% |
| Market · margin removed | 40.1% | 26.0% | 33.9% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 36.3% | 20.9% | 42.8% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-21. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Santander
Scored / game: 1.44
Conceded / game: 2.78
Clean sheets: 0 / 9
Espanol
Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
No prior meetings in this archived dataset.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-21
Data fingerprint: c85627448e9815e247a07a7edfeca295bef5423703ade31ac7ed0e2d8e68270e
Model: existing-source-policy-v1