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Santos vs Bahia prediction

2026-10-25 · BRA · Kickoff 2026-10-25T00:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Santos vs Bahia match analysis

What is the Santos vs Bahia prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Santos (H) at 51.1%. The double-chance call is 1X at 76.6%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T11:56:52+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 51.1%

Low
1 51.1%X 25.5%2 23.4%
Double chance

1X · 76.6%

Low
1X 76.6%X2 48.9%12 74.5%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T11:56:52+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 51.1%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 18%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings34.9%37.5%27.5%
Market · margin removed51.1%25.5%23.4%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson53.0%25.5%21.5%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Santos

WWDLW

Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-18Fluminense (A)2–1
2026-10-11Atletico-MG (A)1–2
2026-10-08Flamengo RJ (H)2–2
2026-10-03Sao Paulo (A)2–1
2026-09-19Remo (A)2–1

Bahia

WLLWL

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-18Flamengo RJ (H)0–3
2026-10-11Mirassol (H)1–0
2026-10-09Palmeiras (A)0–1
2026-09-20Athletico-PR (A)1–2
2026-09-15Remo (H)2–1

Head to head

2026-04-25 · Bahia 2–2 Santos

2025-08-24 · Bahia 2–0 Santos

2025-04-07 · Santos 2–2 Bahia

2023-09-19 · Bahia 1–2 Santos

2023-05-10 · Santos 3–0 Bahia

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T11:56:52+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-20
Data fingerprint: 2d286b196b1077ac95eb79158e825d845b6dd40b7b39a2f4bd746d02aca23f61
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →